Drop in home loans raises fears of higher rents

And there are fears that a drop in investment loans could lead to skyrocketing rents and more homelessness.

Just 5994 new loans were approved in WA in November, the lowest since he same month in 2002 and almost 40 per cent fewer than in May 2006, according to Australian Bureau of Statistics data. It was a fall of 5.8 per cent on October.

The raw data shows just under 5000 were for buying established houses. There were also 2104 refinancings, which are not included in the overall totals.

About $171 million in loans were for building new homes and a further $57 million were for building them. About $1.3 billion was loaned to buy established houses.

Loans for investment housing, which were not broken down by state, fell 7.4 per cent on the previous month and 33 per cent on November 2007.

Housing Industry Association executive Chris Lamont said the investment numbers were of "real concern".

"Unless new measures are implemented... we are going to see more households struggling to afford rental accommodation," he said.

"This is likely to mean an increase in demand for public housing and potentially a further increase in homelessness."

He called for a doubling of the depreciation allowance, incentives for building energy-efficient homes and an expanded national rental affordability scheme.

Meanwhile, the Urban Development Institute of Australia has backed the Housing Industry Association's analysis of other recent housing data by pointing to an expected improvement in new home sales to first home buyers with the tripling of a grant.

HIA WA executive director John Dastlik told WAtoday.com.au last week that there would be a lag between the introduction of the $21,000 grant and its flow-through effect on home sales due to the approvals process in WA.

He was commenting on figures showing new home approvals in the state slumped to an eight-year low in November.

Figures released by the federal government at the weekend showed there had been 279 applications for the grant in WA since October 18, the date it was increased.

But UDIA WA chief executive Debra Goostrey said this was misleading as in WA there needed to be a contract to build before prospective homeowners could apply for the grant, unlike the eastern states where house and land packages from the same company triggered an application much sooner.

UDIA figures showed a "major jump" in land sales from when the grant was announced. The top 12 developers in the state sold 678 lots in the six weeks from October 27, almost 300 more than in the corresponding period before that date.

Author: Chalpat Sonti
Date: January 15, 2009
Publication:  The Age